林幽沃:黄金本周收官生死战
关键词:现货黄金
现货黄金在本周出现止跌回升的走势,但在上涨的过程中未能站稳1200关口令多头失去信心选择回撤,来到周尾重要消息的情况下,留给现货黄金重振的机会仍然存在,相信晚间的全球央行会议以及在美国耐用品数据的影响下,现货黄金将会上演一场绝地大逃生亦或被按在地上摩擦呢?
鲍威尔在成为美联储主席后第一次在全球央行年会上讲话,无疑是今天晚上的主角。而会议的主要讨论内容无非是贸易摩擦以及新兴市场危机问题,而这两个问题的始作俑者都是美国,所以鲍威尔发表的看法何谓重中之重。
根据此前鲍威尔的发言习惯来推测,前半段讲话的内容依然会提及美国经济的复苏,主要在中段和后半段的讲话中,对于贸易摩擦以及近期发生新兴市场的货币危机的态度,只因新兴市场的货币危机来源于美元的升值,美联储接下来的货币政策将直接影响到他国货币的价值。
大田环球贵金属林幽沃认为,如果美元继续升值,那么新兴市场货币都将会迎来进一步的下跌,而大部分货币的进一步下跌都会跌破心理关口导致出现更多的抛售,所以鲍威尔有可能暂时采取维稳的态度释放鸽派言论。
现货黄金将会从中得利,无论是美元进一步升值引发的危机,亦或是维稳的鸽派言论,对于具备避险属性的黄金都有提振的作用。现货黄金在今夜有望持稳上涨的希望,投资者可以持续关注1200关口,今夜如能突破将是多头发出的信号。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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