王垣鑫:再来一次!现货黄金多头发力
大田环球王垣鑫留意到,上周周初金价整体表现为延续低位反弹走势,自低位1160美元/盎司一线触底反弹,反弹幅度达40美元触碰1200美元/盎司一线后,配合4h级别的kdj超买结构出现本轮反弹过程当中的第一波回调走势,在经过大约一天的回调过程后,于1184美元/盎司一线附近成功企稳,缓慢反弹至1193美元/盎司一线后,受市场关注热点杰克逊霍尔央行年会中美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话被解读为鸽派发言影响,现货黄金于周五晚间发力进一步扩大反弹幅度至1208美元/盎司一线。
虽说这一波幅度暂时为48美元左右的反弹走势对于金价从1366美元/盎司一线,下跌至1160美元/盎司一线的206美元/盎司的幅度相比,并不能算是多大幅度的反弹,甚至在周线级别内,上周的k线收线连ma5都没能收过去,但前一周金价在周线kdj三线超卖的情况底下继续大幅下跌,这种情况往往可以看作为最后的一波下跌过程,后市有机会直接做底反弹。
而上周金价收出了许久没看见过的大实体阳线形态,收盘价直达ma5均线压力位附近,从三线变盘法则来讲,这已经构成了看反弹的第一条合格的k线,接下来本周需要留意的区间为1200至周线ma10压力位,大约为1200-1225区间,不管周内涨势多么凶猛,周线ma10上方建议谨慎追多,下周ma10上方的空间才是安全的,若接下来的两周内不能回到1220上方,则后市或仍有变数。
大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫提醒,经过上周的反弹,现阶段日线级别macd指标双线已经金叉,但kdj指标快线已经上穿100,暗示后市金价在下一轮回调出现之间将持续承压,需重点留意ma5的支撑效果,故日内较为安全的接多位置位于日线级别的ma5支撑附近,每天看多安全的幅度建议保持在日线ma5上方大约13美元的空间内。
王垣鑫简介:
资深分析师,擅长中短线交易,独创“万变均线交易法”“据点战法”,交易中的机会主义者,单边行情有效捕捉率极高,操作胜率业界首屈一指。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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