王垣鑫：现货黄金反弹？反转？
本周现货黄金整体延续了上周的低位反弹走势，最高一度反弹至1201美元/盎司一线，虽随后出现较大幅度的回落走势，但其相对于金价从1160美元/盎司一线反弹的40美元幅度来说暂时不足为惧，而且大田环球王垣鑫留意到，本轮的高位回落主要是因为4h级别在经历了26条k线达104个小时的macd金叉周期后，指标的回调需求所造成的，因此待4h级别回调完毕后，金价仍有继续上冲的可能。
日线级别方面，虽然经过昨日的高位回落走势后，今天的开线开在了ma5稍下的位置，但均线的破位需要以实体收破或连续两条k线破均线为信号，因此今天开线低于ma5并不能作为看空的理由，反而在这两周反弹的过程当中，日线级别的macd指标双线已经出现金叉，表示日线的反弹过程已经开启，接下来的时间就看能否踩稳支撑上攻周线级别的主要反压ma5均线。
大田环球王垣鑫建议后市短时间内先关注1176和1196这两个位置，1176为金价自1160低位反弹至1201走势的黄金分割线61.8%回撤位，若多方能成功防守此处，则整波反弹走势基本能保持，后市上看1200整数关口，若被下破后市可看反转收回近期反弹幅度回1160一线甚至更低的地方；同样1196为金价自1212高位加速下跌至1160一线整波的61.8%黄金分割线阻力位，空方若能成功防守此处则短时间内，多头基本不看好能重新站上1200上方，但若此处被突破，则后市看回1212一线甚至更高的位置。
也就是说短期内的走势很有可能是通过突破1176或1196一线来开启的，而日内由于4h级别kdj指标的超卖有调整需求，建议保持低多思路看回1192-1193区间，1192-1193区间可看短时间回调至1188附近，晚间关注美国耐用品订单数据的指引。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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