林幽沃：人民币迎来暴涨
关键词：人民币，美元
在本周时间上美元兑人民币疑似冲击7.00大关到完全扭转局势回到6.75附近一线，人民币在本周实现大反转的行情。在周五盘中，无论在岸或离岸人民币兑美元连续涨破6.78、6.77、6.76、6.75四道关口，创去年7月来新高。临近收盘时，在岸人民币兑美元一度触及6.74关口，日内涨近500点。
人民币暴涨的原因：
1，资金回笼
在中国传统节日最重要的春节即将到来，投资海外的资金开始回流至国内，中国的投资者们也开始结算在2018年的受益。并且在这一基础上，回流的资金也可以为新的一年投资蓝图计划作准备。
2，美元预期受益降低
在2019年美联储加息次数预期只有2次的情况下，美元在市场眼中吸引力下降，加上美股开始展现疲态的表现，导致美国市场投资环境开始变差。美元的投机价值开始下降，导致人民币的涨幅加大。
3，中美贸易关系改善
中美双方在北京举行经贸问题副部级磋商。双方积极落实两国元首重要共识，就共同关注的贸易问题和结构性问题进行了广泛、深入、细致的交流，增进了相互理解，为解决彼此关切问题奠定了基础。双方同意继续保持密切联系。
人民币后续走势如何？
随着美联储整体官员开始认为美国基准利率已经到达中性利率水平的底部，美联储加息的步伐将会降慢，这对人民币来说无疑减轻很大的压力。未来美元兑人民币的走势更加看重的是中国经济转型以及中美贸易的进展。在2019年的走势依然有望维持在6.00-7.00的区间运行，这也是相对稳定的走势。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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