市場預計美聯儲維持當前政策，英國經濟復蘇進行時
關鍵字：英國經濟復蘇進行時
6月10日，歐元兌美元刷新至近幾個月以來的高位，同時英國放鬆社會管控提振了英鎊，市場預計美聯儲在6月決策會議裡將繼續保持寬鬆，但英國執政黨堅決反對調整英國脫歐的強硬立場，可能會限制英鎊。
預計美聯儲將繼續實施寬鬆措施支持經濟，考慮到美國目前的通脹和失業率，儘管就業資料好於預期，但情況仍很糟糕，距離美聯儲設定的目標還有很長的路要走，因此他們別無選擇，只能繼續踩油門，在這種情況下，美聯儲6月利率決議可能繼續實施寬鬆措施，將提振冒險情緒。
美聯儲將維持超寬鬆政策，資本料繼續在金市尋求庇護。在可預見的未來，美聯儲將維持其超寬鬆政策，甚至可能利用更多工具(如收益率曲線控制)來支撐收益率。在這種背景下，實際利率最終將進一步受到抑制。
此外近期英國執政黨重申堅決反對調整英國脫歐期限的強硬立場，同時要求爭取反對派服軟。英國《每日快報》援引Penny Mordaunt的話稱，在達成最後一刻並無退路，這一協議將使得企業積極為局勢變化做好準備。
英鎊兌美元趨勢已經出現重大轉機，接下來阻力位是1.2817，為去年12月以來跌幅的78.6%斐波那契回撤位，此後為2019年12月以來的潛在下跌趨勢線1.2855，預計初次測試時應能受制於該區域。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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