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熊傲君:金价陷入震荡修复,等待市场抉择!

2018.02.21黄金策略

昨日回顾:昨日金价出现大幅回落,亚盘小幅下行不足为惧,但欧盘开张后出现续跌,一举跌破1340一线支撑,随后金价保持回落阴跌走势,美盘测试1335关键支撑后迅速反弹至1343附近,但可惜金价继续下滑,进而破位至1330附近,今日早间继续出现续跌,空头再次释放,目前已把上周恐怖数据后的涨幅全部吞回,市场似乎不愿打破年内的震荡区间,仍等待进一步信号的释放,今日欧盘将成重大考验。

消息面:昨日数据较为稀少,近日,欧洲央行和日本央行都在忙着更换高层决策者。而随着全球经济不断复苏、通胀水平不断提高,从货币政策的角度来说,2018年全球亦有不少央行正处于转变货币政策方向的当口。明日凌晨的美联储1月货币纪要,预料仍旧呈现鹰派作风加强三月升息信心,但市场恐怕已反应有限。价于2月20日跌逾1%,创下了去年7月以来最大跌幅,连续三日下跌,因美元走强,且美国国债收益率攀升。同时,本周美国国债标售的政治担忧和不确定性对金价构成支撑。

今日展望:现阶段金价再次跌穿1330,这恐怕是最不希望看到的局面,尽管后市多头前景依旧乐观,但短期可能继续迎来回落走势,并且可能提前预热加息,所以多头可能还得耐心一些。昨日说过1330是必不可破的,破掉本周就无力强势冲高了,所以短线上需要继续关注欧盘走势强弱再介入单子,日间重点关注1320-1330区间,欧盘只要下破1325,日内走弱便成定局,反之若能上破1331,金价可能继续震荡走势。

熊傲君:金价陷入震荡修复,等待市场抉择!

从现货黄金日线图看:昨日金价出现大跌,其幅度接近上年七月份的下跌,且形态上走出连阴格局,空头似乎卷土重来,均线支撑也被击穿,所以日线上似乎还存在回调的迹象,下方仍存在可能性的趋势线支撑,位置在1320上方,此处再击穿,恐怕得回调至1300一线,操作上日内建议关注区间高抛低吸,仍不愿放弃多头,但关键需看到欧盘的强势,高空点位重点关注1330-1331的反压。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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