熊傲君:2023收官在即,黄金有望明年再创新高
关键字:美联储货币政策,黄金价格历史新高
导语:在2023年里的黄金可谓表现非常亮眼,虽然也出现过一些快速的高位回落,走势也较为曲折,但最终多头依然能够取得胜利,帮助金价再次站稳2000大关的上方。之所以出现这种情况,主要还是因为美联储的加息已经到头了,明年将会重新采取降息的政策,这无疑对黄金市场提供了极大的利好条件,如果通胀没有意外回升太快的话,那么2024黄金有望再次打破今年创出的历史新高。
美联储货币政策即将调整
根据昨天最新的美联储利率决议显示,目前在美国通胀水平明显回落的情况下,美联储将结束加息的政策,明年有很大可能会降息75个基点,唯一悬念是具体的时间还存在变数,美联储主席鲍威尔强调后市要以美国的经济数据来确定,比如通胀数据继续回落或者劳动力市场的隐患加剧。不过无论如何,美国货币政策的调整只是时间问题,所以在经历一周的下跌节奏后,金价迅速收复2000大关。
黄金明年或迎来众多利好
除了美联储释放出鸽派态度以外,黄金明年备受看好的另外一个原因则是近段时间不断滋生的避险因素,从年初的俄乌战争再到近期的以巴冲突,无一不显示出当前的金融市场充斥着不稳定情绪,再加上2024年美国总统大选将卷土重来,一旦特朗普再次当选,那么整个市场的风向都会重新调整,所以全球各国央行最近都在增加黄金储备,这对于金价而言必然也是个利好因素。
虽然整个2023年的金价并没有上涨得太夸张,这主要是因为年初的表现实在是太出色,但现在的支撑力度已经越来越明显,在技术面变得更加稳定而且市场基本面一片利好的情况下,投资者看好黄金的未来前景也就不出意外了,至于能够冲到什么位置,就得具体问题具体分析,不过目前确实长线看涨黄金的绝佳时机,大家可以利用限价平台做好风控的情况下尝试入市。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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