王垣鑫:两日内金价高空低多
上周三晚间8点现货黄金出现变态行情,4小时内金价走出超级触底反弹走势,先是从1330美元/盎司一线跳水至1319美元/盎司附近,随后快速反弹并破高至1349美元/盎司稍上位置,后市继续惯性上攻,最高一度上探1361美元/盎司一线,在上周曾经不停强调一个观点,就是4h级别的macd指标双线金叉过程已经过长,需要以结束金叉的动作进行调整。
但这波上攻并没有等到金叉结束后才出现,而是在这个已经过长的金叉过程当中出现的,直接把刚上0轴的金叉拉到了极限高度随后死叉,这个动作也让前面这一小波多头的生命走到了尽头,在这极高位置的死叉基本都是要进行起码是一个周期的死叉过程。
另外,一旦左边出现“突发”大阳线行情,随后接高位震荡最后并不能站稳继续上破的话,后市基本就是要从哪里来回到哪里去,大家可以把这种行情成为“拱门”行情,放到黄金里面就是“金拱门”行情。放到这一波行情里面,下方极限位置看至1319美元/盎司一线,才看金价有机会出现大反弹。
因此原来的剧本就是在这回落过程当中一有反弹就做空,但是今日在观察日线级别形态的时候,发现了一个比较严重的问题,就是昨日金价在收出大阴线确认本周为下跌行情之后,今日金价开线直接下跌,并未出现反抽ma5均线的动作,也就是说今天金价的下跌过程并未建立在反抽确认压力的前提下走出来的,这是一个极其危险的信号,所以标题所谓的“高空低多”意思是两日内只要金价并未反抽回ma5附近,金价走的越低就越能够去做多,下方重点关注1319-1320区间支撑,这里必须多一次;空单稳健建议待金价出现反弹4hma10或者日线ma5附近才进场。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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