熊傲君:美联储纪要如料鹰派 黄金反弹受阻
2018.02.22黄金策略
昨日回顾:昨日金价盘中波动有限,早盘小幅反弹至1331受阻,随后回落至1325-1330区间,并且欧盘也没有决出方向,导致美盘阶段整体也是偏震荡的局面,当然也可能是市场等待美联储凌晨的纪要,纪要公布后小幅冲高至1336后回落,并最终收回全部涨幅,回到1325下方,早间出现延续,现阶段已围绕1320-1325区间震荡,整体表现为震荡偏弱。
消息面:昨日美联储最新发布的政策会议纪要显示,决策者在该次会议上对有必要继续升息的信心增强,多数委员相信通胀将上升。会议纪要中对通胀的基调更加乐观,可能会进一步巩固在新任主席鲍威尔的领导下,美联储将在下月加息的预期。通胀持续小幅上升,再加上特朗普政府1.5万亿美元减税措施对本已强劲的经济的进一步提振,可能促使美联储更积极地收紧政策。虽然如此,但美联储官员对大幅收紧政策却仍有疑虑。
今日展望:金价跌穿1325后,只剩下1320一线支撑,若1320再跌破,短期可能有望修正至1300一线,因此要重点关注,加上目前欧盘离此处较为相近,要破位难道也不大,短线先避其锋芒,顺势追空,不过后市空间不要看太大,同样不会改变大趋势,有可能目前有加息的预热,代其锋芒毕尽之时便是抄底做长线多之时,欧盘阶段关注1320支撑,若跌破,晚间将大几率冲至1315一线甚至1310一线,届时能否做多观察美盘局势再作定夺。
从现货黄金4小时图看:金价已有反转的形态,目前已跌破前期半分位支撑,下方支撑便要预算至前低一线,跌穿其一可望其二,反之上方的关键多空分水岭将是昨晚货币纪要公布后的带来的高点,以及是目前MA20一线的反压,日间宜先观察均线位置附近带来的反压,整体趋势偏弱一线,操作上建议逢高做空为主,低多为辅。
今日操作建议:
1320附近(上下1美元)做多,第一目标1324,第二目标1328附近,止损3美元。
1330附近(上下1美元)做空,第一目标1327,第二目标1324,止损3美元。
上破1332追多,第一目标1336附近,第二目标1340附近,止损3美元。
下破1318追空,第一目标1315附近,第二目标1312,止损3美元。
1340附近(上下1美元)做空,第一目标1337,第二目标1334,止损3美元。
1311附近(上下1美元)做多,第一目标1314,第二目标1317,止损3美元。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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