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熊傲君:多头节节高升!大涨后等待震荡修复!

2018.02.20黄金策略

上周回顾:金价上周中出现暴力拉升,由低点到高点大涨近30美元,在短期偏多头运行格局的情况下,周三的恐怖数据果然恐怖,先行向下扫单至1318附近后出现大幅逆袭,大涨30美元以上,最高达1355一线,多头肆无忌惮的上升令市场大为吃惊,相比之下白银的上涨幅度远不如黄金,而黄金在大涨后周尾迎来震荡,昨日由于美国节假日休市,整体行情波动不大,现阶段金价围绕1340-1350区间波动,正在修复前期的大涨,大涨过后的修复能否保持续涨将是本周的看点,今日年初五继续为大家带来新年建议!

消息面:上周主要的数据是周三的零售销售数据以及CPI数据,数据显示零售销售月率大幅不如预期,此乃大幅利多数据,虽CPI出现利好但总体仍是较弱的体现,不过金价却出现先冲低后反弹的模式,随后两日的市场相对较为宁静,重要消息不多,本周同样消息面较为稀少,除了周四凌晨的美联储1月货币纪要,预料仍旧呈现鹰派作风加强三月升息信心,但市场恐怕已反应有限。

今日展望:早间金价小幅下挫,正测试1340一线支撑,此处也是黄金分割线半分位位置,下方还有日线MA10的均线支撑——1335-1337一线,另外1331-1333还是强支撑,因此下方支撑组已经相当强大,多头要想延续短期切不可再破1330,若此处能站稳后保持续涨,下次的高点恐怕将是之前一直强调的位置1400一线,今年走强已是大概率,中长线看多坚持不变,短线多关注日内强弱信号再行操作。

熊傲君:多头节节高升!大涨后等待震荡修复!

从现货黄金日线图看:上周金价连日上升后出现修复,当时均线组被价格抛离,因此存在等待的需求,再加上现阶段MA10正在上穿MA20过程当中,因此也存在回撤均线的需求,需重点关注MA10的位置,另外日线前期的低点在1308一线出现的反弹尤为明显,此处也有可能构成第二波多头行情的起涨点,MACD指标仍在金叉运行过程,多头仍是占主导地位。

 


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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