熊傲君：周线七连阳，黄金继续回撤做多
上周回顾：上周美元指数极弱，走出六连阴周线格局，并一举突破90大关，最低下跌至88关口一线，由于美元的弱势，非美货币出现集体狂欢，黄金，欧元，原油等表现皆为亮眼。黄金上周最高触及1365的位置，离前高已不远矣，目前有所受阻修复中，但是现阶段周线已走出七连阳格局，而且形态极佳，后市多头仍将发力，直指1400大关，短线上宜时间换空间等待修复过程，上周五由于消息面平淡，金价走势保持窄幅震荡，符合周五行情走势。
消息面：上周美国财长努钦和特朗普分别在达沃斯峰会上发表了关于美元的讲话，两人的观点大为相反，导致行情出现短暂的大起大落，另外上周的欧元区利率决议和日本央行利率决议对市场影响非常有限。本周将迎来超级周，包括美联储决议、非农、美国国情咨文以及美国PCE数据等众多经济数据公布，此外美国内需虽强劲，但第四季度经济增长预期依旧放缓，美国税改后续影响以及未来加息预期仍是市场不可忽视的地方。
今日展望：趋势非常明朗，而且2018年基本上就是黄金牛市要发挥的年份，3月以及9-10月可能会有回调，但是总体看多是不改的，所以要记住做多绝对不是错的做法，只是短线上需要注意一些空间和入场点位。由于周线连阴，周初可以先等回撤确认支撑，比如说下方的1338-1342的支撑区域，当然如果欧盘直接走强破位亚盘高点1352，那么晚间将有望重回1358-1360区间，所以届时也可继续跟进做多，至于做空方面，若欧盘破位1346，下方将会有4-6美元的空间，这方面自行把握，空单风险仍是相对较大。
从现货黄金4小时图看：金价整体依旧呈现多头格局，上周尾有所回调其实更有利于金价多头再攀高峰，从图形来看上周曾经回踩过顶底转换处1345一线的支撑，所以本周若进一步回调首先还得关注这一线，其次则关注下方1340附近的趋势线支撑，在这个位置之上坚持看多不改，现阶段短期均线组有所向下压制，这点是需要注意的，除非下午走强回均线上方，否则短期最好还是等待回撤后低多的机会，追多止损暂不好设置，另外指标上也在调整窗口，至少也需要等待一下时间。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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