王垣鑫:现货黄金决战1335
上期观点现货黄金1360美元/盎司上方为看回调点位基本正确,而上周亦多次提及到周线看好收在1350-1360区间内,从结果来看,上周走势自周一回踩1328美元/盎司一线后一路上行至1365美元/盎司附近,最后以1h级别头肩顶形态做出短期头部回落,最终于1350美元/盎司附近收盘,本周开盘后延续了上周的高位回落走势,并且在周一走出了亚欧美三盘连跌的走势,在今日早上更是下跌至1336美元/盎司。
看上去上周金价高位回落差不多达到30美元幅度相对较大,有没有可能是已经转势了呢?个人认为幅度并不是衡量是否转势的依据,更不要说单单一周的回落幅度,判断走势是否发生扭转通常要看形态,看重要支撑或是压力有没有被打破,那么本次下行虽说幅度有30美元,但是位置却是刚好打到周线重要支撑ma5附近,按照近期周线的上涨特点,每周基本回踩ma5随后走出二三十美元的涨幅,所以今天的亚盘急跌到1335美元/盎司一线个人是主张做多的,做的就是周线的大趋势,回踩均线进场,1335-1336区间,止损1331下方,目标1340,1345,1348,1365.
相反情况,若本周周线实体下破ma5则后市或将进入周线月线调整行情,回调看至1300整数关口附近,但最快确认也是下周,周内跌破1335一线以日内趋势为主,可参考日线ma5做空,或日内1h和4h级别统一方向操作。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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