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林幽沃:美元指数破低反抽,非美普遍呈高位震荡

美元指数在前些日子失守90大关,创出近三年以来的新低,一度下探至88.4附近低位,令非美货币及大众商品一度狂飙创出众多新高。2016年英国脱欧公投所影响的英镑和欧元,也逐渐抬起头,逐渐吞没当年跌幅。而黄金则是仅差临门一脚,受压于1370关口下方,未能创出新高。

在美元指数跌破90关口后,出现了比较快速并且强劲的反抽,在次日已把破低k线实体全部收回,但见底言之过早,尽管美元指数或许已经到达阶段性低点,也需要重复测试支撑形成底部,才能让此次空头行情结束。

反观现货黄金,在二次受压于1365附近压力后形成高位震荡走势,并且震荡区间里走势偏弱,值得庆幸的是1340-42尚未跌破,多头依然有机会发力上行,那么结合5周线所处位置1337附近,则本周重点关注支撑区间则是1337-42。

林幽沃:美元指数破低反抽,非美普遍呈高位震荡

(关注图形上红线区间)

本周关键事件与重要数据较多,

①特朗普借就任美国总统一周年的机会,在周初发布国情咨文演讲。相信会就新税改达成显现出政绩,并进一步提及医改问题。

②美联储利率决议将在周四凌晨公布,但本次没有新闻发布会,并且本次市场预期加息概率不大。且在本周日鲍威尔就任美联储主席之位,耶伦同时离开理事会。

③美国2018年1月非农就业报告,作为超级数据周最后收尾,相信也能带起一定的行情波动。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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