美联储利率维稳，黄金再测试4000关口
昨日现货黄金价格于3994一线位置开盘，日内价格最高反弹至4040附近，最低回踩至3982一线，最终于4012一线附近位置收盘。尽管昨日金价未能成功反弹，但下方4000整数关口防守成功，暗示短时间内价格或缺乏进一步下破的动力。
伊朗高级官员称调解方提议伊美停火10天
据外媒20日援引一名伊朗高级官员的话报道，伊美谈判调解方已向伊方提出旨在缓和目前局势的提议，该提议建议实施为期10天的停火，以寻求恢复执行伊美上个月达成的谅解备忘录。伊朗外交部发言人巴加埃当天在新闻发布会上说，伊方已收到美国和伊朗谈判调解方提出的建议，具体细节暂不便透露。他同时表示，伊朗内政部长当天将访问巴基斯坦，就两国相关事务进行磋商。
沙特联军宣布采取军事行动保障曼德海峡航运安全
当地时间7月20日，沙特阿拉伯主导的多国联军指挥部发表声明称，联军已开始采取措施保护联盟国家船只通过曼德海峡。联军发言人图尔基·马利基表示，指挥部正采取一切必要的军事行动和严密措施，确保联盟国家船只在曼德海峡的航行安全。联军声明强调，相关行动符合国际法及1982年《联合国海洋法公约》的规定，将对胡塞武装针对商船的任何威胁予以坚决回击，并认定此类行为公然违反国际法、构成海上非法行为。此次联军的军事行动是对胡塞武装同日宣布对沙特实施海上封锁的直接回应。胡塞武装发言人萨雷亚宣布，基于“以眼还眼”原则对沙特实施海上航运禁令，以回应沙特近12年来对也门的海陆空封锁。此前，胡塞武装已指控沙特空袭其控制的机场，并向沙特境内发射导弹和无人机予以报复。
美联储7月加息概率为15.5%，年内至少加息一次的概率为82.5%
据CME“美联储观察”：美联储7月维持利率不变的概率为84.5%，累计加息25个基点的概率为15.5%。 美联储到9月维持利率不变的概率为36%，累计加息25个基点的概率为55.1%，累计加息50个基点的概率为8.9%。美联储到12月维持利率不变的概率为312.5%，累计加息25个基点的概率为42%，至少加息50个基点的概率为40.5%。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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