美元溫和反彈,多頭盼望非農
12月5日,現貨黃金價格從五個交易日高位回落,因美元指數小幅度上揚。金價主要隨著美元的走勢而波動,金價的走勢屬於適當回調。而本周將迎來美國非農報告,若是數據不佳,可能進一步動搖市場對美聯儲加息的信心,同時施壓美元為金價提供支撐。
美元指數維持漲幅,即使美債收益率下滑引發對經濟成長的擔憂限制其上行空間。美國10年期公債收益率跌至9月中旬以來最低水準。10年期與2年期公債利差也縮至2008年1月金融危機初始以來最窄,對一些投資者而言,這意味著經濟放緩迫近。
本周後期將迎來重磅數據,即美國11月非農就業報告,由於最近美聯儲“鷹鴿不定”態度,並表示接下來的加息將主要取決於經濟數據,因此非農數據出爐更顯其重要。若數據不佳,可能進一步動搖市場對美聯儲明年加息的信心,施壓美元為金價提供支撐。
地緣局勢方面,12月11日英國脫歐協議將會在議會進行投票,若最終不能通過議會表決,那麼對英鎊來說將是一場災難,屆時可能再度引發市場恐慌,金價有望從中漁利。
本周金價突破連接10月26日和11月7日高點的下降趨勢線,暗示將重啟自11月13日低點1196美元/盎司以來的升勢,日圖看漲,因金價位於上升的10日均線1226美元/盎司上方。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
最新內容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.