王垣鑫：联储理事支持大幅加息，金价出现进一步下滑
昨日早间亚盘开盘后金价小幅走高至1734附近位置，随后开启日内大幅下跌行情，在欧盘时段触及1710一线位置后，价格虽短暂放缓跌势但美盘开盘后进一步将日内低点刷新至1697附近，不过由于下方支撑效果较为明显，目前金价出现反弹重新回到1710一线上方进行交投。
美联储理事站队大幅加息
周三公布的数据显示，美国6月消费者物价同比跃升9.1%，创40多年来最大增幅，随后，交易员们加大了对美联储将更快加息的押注。不过，对加息100个基点的押注有所降低，此前美联储理事沃勒表示，他支持在本月晚些时候的政策会议上再次加息75个基点，但如果新数据显示需求放缓的速度不足以推动通胀回落，他将倾向于更大规模的加息。
7月美联储加息100基点概率骤降
周三公布的数据显示，美国6月CPI年率未季调为9.1%，创40多年来最大增幅，随后，交易员们加大了对美联储将更快加息的押注。不过，对美联储加息100个基点的押注有所降低。此前美联储理事沃勒表示，他支持在本月晚些时候的政策会议上再次加息75个基点，但如果新数据显示需求放缓的速度不足以推动通胀回落，他将倾向于更大规模的加息。联邦基金利率期货市场目前预计，加息100个基点的可能性为31%，稍早为70%左右，加息75个基点的可能性为69%。
昨日金价进一步延续此前的回落走势，日线方面录得大实体阴线K线形态。虽然短时间内下方仍能看到支撑的效果，但日线级别MACD指标双线在0轴下方持续死叉下行表示下跌过程仍未结束。接下来继续关注日线MA5均线对金价的压制效果，这是后市价格延续下跌趋势的关键压力所在。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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