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王垣鑫:美联储激进预期升温,黄金下跌测试五月支撑

昨日金价在早间亚盘开盘后延续了自1810一线开始的阶段性反弹走势,不过价格在最高反弹至1832附近位置后欧盘时段出现承压再度大幅度下滑,今日凌晨时段将近期低点进一步刷新至1805一线附近,不过后市跌势暂时放缓目前再度出现反弹整体交投于1815一线附近。

王垣鑫:美联储激进预期升温,黄金下跌测试五月支撑

晚间将公布美联储利率决议

在北京时间的6月16日02:00,美联储将公布利率决议、政策声明及经济预期。随着当前美国面临40年来最严重通胀局面,市场对美联储激进加息的预期升温。摩根大通和富国银行等多家主要银行和投行普遍预计,美联储或将宣布加息75个基点,以遏制通胀再度飙升。这也可能是美联储自1994年以来最大加息幅度。

美元指数突破20年高点

美元兑一篮子货币周二创20年新高,交易员为美联储本周激进加息以遏制通胀做准备。本周,对美联储将以较预期更大幅度加息的预期不断升温令投资者如坐针毡,导致标普500指数确认处于熊市区域,并加剧了对经济前景的担忧。美元指数周二最高触及105.66,为2002年12月以来最高,收报105.47,涨幅约0.24%。不过,周三亚市盘初,美元指数回吐了周二的全部涨幅,目前交投于105.21附近,因为临近利率决议,部分多头获利了结离场。

王垣鑫:美联储激进预期升温,黄金下跌测试五月支撑

昨天金价小幅延续回落走势日线录得较大实体的阴线K线形态,目前金价已经跌破前段时间的宽幅震荡区间底部支撑1840一线的位置,日线MA5均线开始向下拐头,MACD指标双线也在0轴下方发出死叉变盘信号,暗示短时间内趋势开始向下打开,建议可以保持逢高沽空的看盘思路,上方重点留意日线MA5均线的压力效果。


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