王垣鑫：现货黄金承压1750一线，后市需留意日线均线支撑
现货黄金价格经过前天一天时间的震荡过程后，昨日欧盘金价多头开始发力，金价从1710美元/盎司一线在7个小时内，直接上攻1747美元/盎司一线，但随后未能有效站稳，价格迅速回落至1730美元/盎司下方，目前1720美元/盎司一线位置支撑效果良好，现货黄金价格暂时于1720-1730间震荡整理。
2020年全球经济萎缩
昨日国际货币基金组织表示由于公共卫生事件冲击导致经济活动停摆，预计2020年全球经济将萎缩3.0%，这将成为自1930年代大萧条以来最严重的经济滑坡，目前全球累计确诊病例数已近200万例，这迫使各国实施停摆措施，并促使央行出台支持举措。
另外有分析指出到目前为止，黄金的走势一直相当动荡，但是鉴于宏观背景，黄金价格的目的地或仍然在更高的位置，同时ETF持仓数据显示，周一持仓增加1.6%至1009.70吨，达到2013年6月以来最高水平，反映出投资者对黄金的兴趣。
金价失去短期均线支撑
从盘面上看，金价冲高回落走势过后，1h级别里面macd指标并未能跟随价格破高，目前处于顶背离状态，暗示短时间内金价震荡上涨趋势或将出现转折；4h级别方面自上周四起支撑价格一路上行的ma5均线支撑目前也已经被跌破，伴随ma5均线开始拐头向下形成压力，加之此前一直维持高位钝化运行的kdj指标也死叉下行，均表明这一波小级别上行过程已经告一段落，接下来将进入一轮回调走势。
鉴于目前日线级别仍处于ma5支撑均线上方，且ma5均线支撑距离现价较远，该级别趋势未被破坏但均线对价格有拉回作用的情况下，日内回调位置建议暂时先留意1700美元/盎司附近位置，若站稳短时间内还有机会进一步刷新高点。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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