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你当前所在页面: 大田环球首页 > 黄金学院 > 分析师专栏 > 王垣鑫:黄金面临日线级别回踩

王垣鑫:黄金面临日线级别回踩

昨日现货黄金在凌晨时段于1297美元/盎司一线起涨后,全天基本以延续震荡反弹走势为主,最高一度触及日线级别ma20均线压力,即1311美元/盎司一线后开启回调走势,其原因很大程度是由于近期金价一路维持低位反弹,整一波反弹走势并未出现大幅度回调,kdj指标自低位金叉后一路向上运行,日线级别macd指标虽然刚形成金叉,但由于目前j线已经上穿100,日线级别呈现超买格局,回踩ma5确认支撑需求较为强烈,日内回调料将持续。

钝化支撑被破回调迹象明显

在4h级别当中我们可以看到,从12号亚盘开始站上ma5支撑上方,macd指标双线在死叉的边缘拉起重新开口运行金叉过程,kdj指标三线亦出现金叉,在j线到达100上方后金价并未立刻出现回调,而是顺着ma5的支撑继续震荡上行,钝化上行格局较为明显,除此之外回调开启的信号也相对明显,就是以ma5的突破为开端,可以看到目前金价已经是大实体阴线贯穿ma5支撑,故此掌管日内大方向的4h级别发出回调信号,日线若想不回踩均线支撑反而继续走高难度相对较大。

王垣鑫:黄金面临日线级别回踩

支撑变压力小级别出现反转

另一个日内级别1h级别方面比4h级别反转迹象更加明显,金价跌破此前一路支撑上行的ma5及ma10两道支撑均线,macd指标双线和kdj指标三线出现死叉信号,且ma5已经向下拐头金价明显承压于ma5之下,日内两级别方向均从涨转调,则回调乃是日内主旋律,1h级别ma5及4h级别ma5可作为看回调入场参考点位。

王垣鑫:黄金面临日线级别回踩

日线支撑仍在线空单切勿深追

出日内因素外,日线级别本身上方也存在压力,昨日金价反弹至向下运行的ma20附近时已经出现承压,今日再上攻一波亦是失败告终,短时间内ma20压力为日线主要压力因素,但下方ma5支撑依旧是有效的,均线支撑压力在被实体突破前均看作有效,而且文章开头也讲到过,日线目前处于超买上行走势当中,ma5为强力支撑均线,因此本轮回调日内暂时只建议看至5日线附近,在ma5支撑仍有效的情况底下合并钝化上行趋势,5日线并不建议直接看破。

王垣鑫:黄金面临日线级别回踩


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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