林幽沃：现货黄金回调或出现良机
关键字：现货黄金
现货黄金在经历数月的震荡后出现突破关键压力1215的行情，翘首以待的走势终于出现，现货黄金终于有望进入多方的欢呼之中。在本周初，现货黄金的价格曾经触及每盎司1233美元的价位，随后连续遇压后回落。本人相信，此次回落并非现货黄金多方的结束，而是蓄力再次上行的调整。
行情思路：
1，从8月开始至10月的震荡区间被向上突破，暂时将趋势认为偏向多方。震荡时间越长的区间，其大幅破位的有效性越高。
2，在遇到前期重要点位1235附近一线开展回落，调整指标以及进行二次回踩的需求。
3，突破后首次回踩5日均线，在日线收线前只要能收回再5日均线上方即可。
消息思路：
目前时间点恰好在美联储9月加息后以及12月利率决议前的空档，加上美国中期选举、英国“脱欧”议案和伊核协议等消息都集中在10月-11月公布，现货黄金有巨大的潜力在该时间点上趁机回升，为明年年初做好铺垫。
总结：
个人认为，无论在技术面亦或是消息面，10月-11月是现货黄金非常好的上涨机会。在经历了半年的回落后，无论后市是选择继续深跌亦或上涨，都应该先作出适当的反弹后再进行下一步的行情预测。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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