王垣鑫：特朗普嘴炮再救黄金？
相比上周黄金的走势而言，本周金价第一个交易日就出现20美元的回落幅度，其弱势程度不言而喻，在昨日早间反弹回1190-1192区间后，欧盘再度出现回落，美盘有延续回落走势的迹象，但就当金价临近一个多月以来黄金日线级别的主要低点1180一线附近的时候，美元指数出现及时回落令黄金得意喘息，另一方面昨天特朗普在白宫接受采访时称，不认为美国通胀有加速上行的风险，因此美联储没有必要急于加息，亦对美元指数造成打压。
近期美元指数有重拾强势的迹象，但短时间内仍受压于前方头肩顶形态颈线位置，若后市不堪重压跌破95.5一线，美元指数短期头部呈现，或有继续形成大级别复合型头肩顶右肩的可能性，但相反若后市继续向上突破，则或将再度上攻97一线，继续对黄金产生打压作用。
在今年美国除了美联储的加息进程外，还有一件大事是市场所关心的，就是美国的中期选举，在选举中美国两党将对国会的控制权进行争夺，最新的选情是共和党占优，而特朗普作为共和党的实际领导人，使得此前闹得沸沸扬扬的总统弹劾不能得以实现，但中期选举让这一情况得到转机，若在本次选举中共和党失利，共和党将失去对国会的控制权，弹劾总统的程序或将提上日程，所以本次中期选举也被看作是对特朗普的考验，届时料对美元指数产生影响。
而日内黄金在美元指数头部仍未显现的情况底下估计反弹会相对显得困难，昨日金价虽在1183出现反弹，但整体日线依旧收在ma5压力之下，确认了ma5的下压力度，今日金价在1190一线徘徊不前亦印证了此看法，所以上方1190-1192区间为日内重要压力区间，日内一举突破此区间的可能性较小，建议追多者谨慎对待。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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