林幽沃:贸易摩擦成G20主要议题
关键词:贸易,G20
在过去的周末举行G20财长会议继续延续之前G7会议上的气氛,美国因为贸易问题依然成为各国攻击的对象。贸易摩擦将会持续影响全球经济增长,G20财长会议上讨论主题围绕新兴市场正面临急剧动荡,以及资本有可能大幅外流的危险。
而在G20公报的草案上提及到另一议题是由贸易摩擦所衍生的风险,草案中警告全球贸易摩擦可能会导致金融系统出现问题,如果贸易摩擦进一步刺激到金融系统以及地缘政治风险上升的局面,将会导致全球出现新一轮的危机。
美国财长在会议上态度有所软化,称愿意达成自由贸易协议。大田环球贵金属林幽沃认为,在过去的公开宣言中,大部分的美国官员都赞成自由贸易,如果特朗普不肯让步的话,无论他人如何表达出自由贸易的意愿亦无用。
法国财长称,如果美方不撤销钢铝关税,将难以想象欧盟会与美国谈判贸易协议。如果特朗普政府对欧盟国家实施更多关税,除了再次采取报复性行动之外、将别无选择。
从目前大环境来看,美国发动加征关税的动作,有可能引发其他国家的集体抱团对抗,最终的局面可能变成特朗普拿起石头砸自己脚的情况。但由于美国经济复苏领先全球,特朗普依然有谈判的资本,利用加征关税将各国拉向谈判桌,收取“保护费”。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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