林幽沃：“贸易战”是把双刃剑
在4月初以来，特朗普政府拿出贸易战这个工具，把贸易伙伴国拉上谈判桌，意图形成对美国有利的公平贸易。在过去将近2个月的时间特朗普一直将加征关税放在嘴边，却迟迟没有实施。直至6月1日，在欧盟、墨西哥以及加拿大的豁免期完结前都未能谈判成功，最终才开始实施加征收关税。
特朗普政府目前面临着一些难题：,
1，加征关税虽然把贸易伙伴国拉到谈判桌上进行谈判，但一直以来口头上说的加征关税并没有真正的行动，令谈判桌上的风向未能向美国有利的方向发展。
所以美国为了“贸易战”这个工具在谈判桌上具有威力，在和中国进行谈判前向欧盟、墨西哥以及加拿大的钢铝征收关税。
2，“贸易战”同时也会影响到股市的投资情绪，美股在每次“贸易战”出现新进展的时候出现急速下跌迹象，在释放出有好信号之后也会进行回升。
这一举动无论令美股散发出只要“贸易战”正式开打，就立即崩盘的信号。然而这也不是特朗普政府想看到，所以也会适时放出有好的信号来维稳国内情绪。
特朗普政府正艰难地利用“贸易战”这一个工具，要确保国内投资情绪良好，并不断地测试贸易伙伴国的底线以求获取最大的利益。
大田环球林幽沃认为，特朗普政府搬出加征关税的工具，强迫使贸易国都要与其开展谈判，美国国内资金也担忧贸易战会影响到企业的发展。目前，特朗普政府如果稍有一步走错，美国则会从全球领导的位置变为全球敌对的目标。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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