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林幽沃:英国脱欧遇难题 英镑受压下跌

早前英国脱欧大臣戴维斯表示,就爱尔兰边界问题的结果直到2020年12月以前都不是必须的,避免爱尔兰边界最好的途径是达成良好的贸易协议,2018年10月至2019年3月期间有时间进行贸易谈判,预计未来与欧盟的伙伴关系将存在政治不确定性。大田环球贵金属林幽沃提示,爱尔兰问题将会成为英国脱欧的一大绊脚石。

英国意欲无伤“脱欧”

当前英国与欧盟的谈判正在持续进行中,当前最大的问题在于英国希望拥有尽可能广泛的进入欧盟大市场的权利。而欧盟官员表示,英国脱欧后不可能享有与成员国相同的待遇,免关税进入欧盟商品和服务市场的权利取决于是否承认欧盟劳动人员的自由流动权。

林幽沃:英国脱欧遇难题 英镑受压下跌

大田环球贵金属林幽沃认为,英国与欧盟就“分手”问题协商存在不确定性较多,短期内可能成为压制英镑的主要因素。不过在未来,市场依然预期英国央行将会继续收紧银根,将在未来数月内再次加息,成为支撑英镑的主要原因。

英镑兑美元走势:

林幽沃:英国脱欧遇难题 英镑受压下跌

英镑兑美元在数日前小幅破高后快速回落,在跌破起涨点后走势倒向弱势,但高位震荡区间依然未被跌破。大田环球贵金属林幽沃建议,在大周期内英镑依然处于强势,当前回落可以当作回调看待,长期支撑位于1.385附近。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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