王垣鑫:生死一念间黄金重压再发威
昨日现货黄金再一次上攻1354一线,但结果还是以失败告终,虽说亚盘仍然看到金价有上攻的欲望,但欧盘的跳水足以说明一切,短时间内金价将再度往下回踩确认支撑,上方1353一线将继续是黄金后市上攻所需要攻克的重要位置。
可能有的朋友会感觉到奇怪,为什么刚刚说上攻1354一线,而且前段时间现货黄金也是一度扶摇直上到1365一线的,但是这里我却要说是1353一线呢?其实原因非常简单,就是行情中的短时间突破并不能算是真突破,有可能是虚破,只有真正越过某个点位并且能长时间站在上方的才能算是真突破。那么1353这一个位置为什么需要关注呢?我们从下面几张图来了解一下。
先从1h级别看,这两天的两次上攻虽然都曾经到过1353上方,但我们除了要留意价格当时的走势之外,更加重要的是留意最终的收线形态,1h级别这里其实就是一个双顶的结构,顶部就是在1353一线,上方要不就是影线,要不就是实体上去之后直接阴线回来,这里只能算一个虚破。
再从日线级别上看,情况跟1h级别相差无几,1353上方要不就是影线,要不就是实体收上去之后,第二天直接阴线收回下方并且开启一波回落走势,所以1353这一个位置的压力不是在这一天两天才出现,而是在之前就已经多次产生压力作用。
如果要说这个压力存在了多久,我们可以从月线级别上看到,基本从2014年金价于1900滑落下来开始,后面每次上攻留下的都是影线,说这一个是金价底部的主要压力也不为过,一旦越过了这一道压力后市金价基本可以看是开始脱离底部的震荡区间,步入上行过程当中。
但是在此之前,这个位置不止是技术面上的重要压力,更是投资者心理上的压力关口,因此若不是出现非常明确的看涨信号,不建议再1353附近进行直接的追多操作。
日内关注1340-1346区间,1340-1338区间尝试做多,目标1343,1346,1350,止损1336。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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