王垣鑫：白银突破一步到位后市仍有大考验
现货白银近段时间一直维持低位震荡调整走势，这一调整周期已经持续了2个月的时间，但昨日晚间现货白银多头突然发力迎来了新转机，从结果来看昨日白银大幅拉高，一举突破了维持2个月的低位盘整区间，目前日线macd指标双线金叉，1h级别和4h级别均线簇都呈多头排列形态，从指标上看多头并未出现太大问题，但今日现货白银并不建议继续追多，原因很简单，日线ma5支撑并未跟到位，可以从图中看到，ma5目前正位于16.9美元/盎司一线，但今日银价一直在17.11-17.29区间震荡，距离ma5支撑较远乖离较大，这种情况底下，在日线ma5追上银价之前，也就是说最早在今晚12点日线收线之前，都不看好白银的价格会继续大幅拉高，因此需谨慎追多，建议以17.11-17.29区间震荡思路对待。
除了日线在今日内ma5不能跟上价格提供支撑不建议追多外，还有一个非常重要的原因就是周线形态为收敛三角形震荡形态，可以看到上方的低点在不停的降低，下方主要低点基本维持在同一水平线，而且经过昨晚的大幅拉涨之后，目前现货白银的价格正位于三角形上轨下方，只有周线上面都能够突破这一重要反压位置，白银短时间内后市才能看进一步的打开上行空间，因此对于现货白银来讲17.30美元/盎司上方开始为后市上行的重大考验，一旦突破成功，后市将往18.6及21美元/盎司看齐，但一旦突破失败，白银或将有重回下方15.60美元/盎司一线测试支撑的风险，因此在这关键节点上追多请务必谨慎。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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