王垣鑫:纪要前夕金价或以震荡敷衍了事
上期思路:在经过周五大反弹和今日早盘的延续后,短期指标方面已经走高需要调整,早间85有回调,能回1277附近可以尝试继续做多,止损1274,目标1280、1285、1289-90;如果欧盘继续冲高则1290-1291做空,止损1294上方,目标1286、1282-1283.
1277附近这个位置很可惜行情并没有给到,但当天给出的1281-1282附近多单已经到达1289完美获利离场,1290-1291空单止损放1294上方刚好没有被扫到早间回落1286附近到达第一目标可以继续持有。
今日思路:
由于翌日凌晨2点有美联储货币政策会议纪要,按套路来讲今日震荡的几率是很高的(大概有三四层楼那么高)亚盘反弹至1291一线后直线回落,随后欧盘又反弹回原点,暂时来看震荡的区间顶端为1290-1291,底部为1286-1287,若欧盘到美盘前金价依旧在此区间内震荡运行的话,则若今晚美盘12点前突破区间可就进寻找压力支撑反手刷单回区间内。
激进者可在区间内高抛低吸,破位后可参考1294附近做空,止损1298,目标1290-1291、1287;1284-1285做多,止损1282,目标1288-1289、1290。
稳健者今日等待1298大家做空,止损1301上方,目标1294、1291;1283附近做多,止损1280下方,目标1287、1290-1291。
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日线由于昨日涨幅较大已经远离日线ma5大概有金价一天的运行幅度,出现这种情况在未来最多两天之内会有返回均线的过程,这里用返回而不是回踩是因为返回可以是被动或是主动,意思是可能发生两种情况,第一种金价主动回落回踩ma5,第二种金价今日高位震荡,明日ma5上移金价做小幅回落后继续上涨,主要区别是第一种情况的回落幅度较大,因此今日若有新高能打到压力是主要考虑空的操作,相反今日直接能回踩均线则顺势接多。
晚间12点过后如果不是赌行情的话建议把短线单子离场,待明日再做定夺不需要担心没有机会,其实自周一金价收在1280上方的时候,本周周一到周四的节奏基本已经定格在震荡上行,因此明天依旧是逢低做多的思路,所以还有一天的时间不差这一晚的行情,但到周五就需要小心,经过4天的单边走势过后,行情趋于调整,因此以高抛低吸为主,不建议再激进看高。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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