羊首领:10月11日每日黄金报
10月11日每日黄金报
美元重启下行通道?
美元指数在周二连续第三天走弱,短线可能再度回踩93整数关口和60日均线支撑,因上周末以来市场基本面格局再度出现了戏剧性的反转。一方面,西班牙局势在加泰罗尼亚地方当局于周二再度推迟宣布独立之后趋缓和,欧元区投资者紧绷的神经终于得到些许放松。而另一方面,市场在上周非农数据出路后却又再度对美联储的紧缩政策前景平添疑虑,尤其是在有传闻称特朗普可能更青睐提名一名立场鸽派的美联储新主席时。
今日重点关注消息:
美国芝加哥联储主席埃文斯发表讲话。
美联储公布9月货币政策会议纪要。
今日关注消息看点:
埃文斯在9月25日上的发言中表现出偏向鸽派的方向,其中主要提到没有数据表明通胀在近期重回2%,以及2019年底将利率提高到2.7%感到合适(美联储方面的预期在2019年底预期把利率提高至3%水平)。
9月货币政策会议纪要是每次议息会议后的重要看点,通常让行情发生较大波动。
10月11日现货黄金日线图:短期5天线上穿10天线,发生盘中共振拉回效果,在拉回过后,金价依旧应以多为主要操作方式,另外今天是SAR第三个小点出现在下方的情况,并且MACD也走出确认性的金叉,整体表示底部基本确立,需往上走10-12天时间。
10月11日现货黄金4小时图:短期均线多头排列,图形从下降常态重回上涨常态,整体市场多方占优,但由于短期MACD慢速线往上速度过快,若晚间快速线无法快速张开的话,金价将出现1-2天的回调,而若晚间MACD快速线能重新快速往上张开,金价依旧还有28小时左右的继续上攻。
10月11日现货黄金1小时图:短期均线纠结,上涨常态短期有所破坏,MACD昨日发生背离,短期依旧处在调整期,晚间尤为重要,若能在4小时级别MACD死叉前,1小时级别MACD再次走出金叉金价就能再次往上续攻,但若在4小时死叉后,1小时级别再形成金叉情况,指标是金价是反弹,行情将会继续往下延伸。
每日小Tips:本轮在中长期的角度看来,多方依旧有上涨空间,短期回调给予加仓机会,但一旦发生回调将以1-2天为单位,操作切勿过急。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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