羊首领：原油涨幅超过3% 本次上攻直指74美元
原油经历了1个多月的回调，从7月3日开始的73.85美元/桶高位，一路下跌至8月中旬的63.88美元/桶低位，回调幅度超过13%。在此期间市场消息横飞，大部分认为诸多国家开始响应美国总统特朗普要求进行增产。但大田环球羊首领认为，事实上大部分人都忽略了问题的原点，伊核协议问题导致的波斯湾或被封锁，将会持续发酵影响原油市场，让其得到较强的支撑与助涨作用。
3分之1的原油受到威胁
世界原油产量不可能在短时间内大幅度改变的情况下，那么短时间内能限制原油进出将是影响油价最严重的因素。自从美国退出伊核协议后，伊美两国就一直剑拔弩张，并且在8月初伊朗就表明必要时将封锁波斯湾，随后还进行了军演，向美国人证明伊朗绝对有封锁波斯湾的能力与魄力，这一问题到现在还没有任何缓解的情况，也就意味着世界上3分之1的原油受到了威胁，因此供求关系随时被威胁发生改变，原油也很自然获得上行的支撑与动力。
千金难买牛回头
原油从2016年的27美元/桶上涨至2018年最高位73美元/桶，涨幅近两倍。在道氏理论当中，涨幅达到20%为牛市，那么涨幅两倍，相信称其为大牛市或疯牛格局，相信在此并不会有人觉得有异议了吧。在疯牛的过程里，市场购买力非常充足，那就变得很难给予回调的机会，让大家再能买到廉价的筹码，这也称为千金难买牛回头。当下回调了1个多月的原油市场，在昨天，给出了3%的大幅度涨幅，大田环球羊首领认为这基本可以判定为再次上攻的起涨攻势，在牛市格局中起涨有是破高要求的，那本次再次起涨所指向的目标位置将是越过73.85美元/桶，而现时油价仍然在67美元附近徘徊，利润空间巨大，可逢低进行交易操作。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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