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LBMA:28家机构看空2014年黄金价格

关键字:2014年黄金价格

《Mineweb》1月22日报导,伦敦金银市场协会(LBMA)本周公布的调查结果显示,受访的28家机构法人分析师几乎均对2014年金价走势持悲观看法,对于今年平均金价的预测介于每盎司1,080美元至1,315美元之间,平均值为1,219美元,对比去年全年的平均金价则为1,411美元。分析师对今年金价低点的预测介于950-1,180美元之间,高点的预测则介于1,250-1,480美元之间。

报导也称,由于去年金价跌势大出意料之外,分析师对今年金价的预测多遵从主流看法而不愿意强出头。LBMA去年的调查显示,分析师预估年度平均金价将较年初上涨5%至每盎司1,753美元,但去年全年金价大跌28%写下自1981年以来的最大年度跌幅。LBMA自2001年开始这项年度调查以来,只有2004年与去年的调查结果与当年度的金价涨跌方向出现错误。

LBMA调查显示今年平均银价将为每盎司19.95美元,铂金平均价格预估为每盎司1,490美元,钯金平均价格预估为每盎司774.81美元。22日金银铂钯期货价格分别为每盎司1,238.6美元、19.839美元、1,462.4美元,以及748.85美元。

德国商业银行(Commerzbank AG)分析师Daniel Briesemann表示,今年铂金市场不会有重大的变化,铂矿产量不太可能大幅增加,而工业需求则将持续回升,汽车市场的复苏将对铂金价格构成支撑。铂金与钯金的工业需求主要用于生产汽车的触媒转化器。

 

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