GFMS：2014年黄金价格将下跌13%
关键字：2014年黄金价格
汤姆森路透黄金矿业公司（Thomson Reuters GFMS）周四（1月23日）报告指出，预计2014年黄金均价为1,225美元/盎司，全年将下跌13%。GFMS金属研究展望部门负责人Rhona O`Connell表示，尽管近期金价的整固有机会令金价在本季结束前挑战1,330美元，不过，一旦第二季投资者开始撤离黄金市场，金价很有可能在下半年（第三季）跌向1,000美元；只是届时实物金需求也将大幅走强，足以帮助金价从低位反弹，因此这样的下探仅仅是暂时。
GFMS指出，2013年由于西方投资者大肆抛售黄金，导致金价全年下跌28%，并创下30多年来最大年度跌幅，然而下方仍有众多的亚洲和中东买家承接。数据显示，2013年黄金ETF共抛售了880公吨黄金，同期东亚、印度及中东地区却增加了1,066公吨黄金（全球共增加1,338公吨）。综合来看，2013年净实物黄金投资为458公吨，而2012年则达到1,285公吨。
GFMS报告称，2013年中国大陆金饰需求达724公吨，占据全球的33%；印度需求却因为政府加强对黄金进口的管控而下滑1%，2013年印度金饰需求为613公吨。中国与印度合计占据了全球金饰需求的51%。数据显示，2013年全球金饰加工需求年增13%至2,198公吨，创下五年新高，占总黄金需求的46%比重。此外，2013年全球央行黄金储备净增加359公吨，今年增幅有可能还会进一步下降，不过当前绝大多数央行依然是黄金的净买家。
推荐阅读：
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.