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投资者对金银失去信心,未来弱势恐难改变

  上周五黄金白银价格小幅回升,纷纷从日内低点展开反弹。在连续的风险事件轰炸后,市场消息面再归平静,不过强势美元继续主导金融市场,非美货币则在日内低点窄幅整理,延续短期疲弱态势,唯有前期跌幅较深的澳元及金银出现了调整行情。

  美联储本周暗示将在年内开始回收其货币宽松政策,该消息一出全球金融市场随即迎来大地震,各大金融市场犹如天灾降临,仅有美元表现抢眼,大幅走高录得近一年最佳周表现。而债券利率也来到两年高位,与此同时,股票和其他风险资产则遭遇重创,尤其是黄金白银,盘中甚至跌幅超过6%。美10年期国债收益率继续上升12基点至2.54%,2.5%一度被众多投资人士视为重要阻力,上破后可能引发更多长期国债的技术性卖盘。投资者对美联储终将削减资产购买的预期并未减弱,短期内美元强势非美疲软的格局或难以改变。

  黄金日内探底回升,小幅反弹修正前期跌幅,不过上周延续大幅下跌接近100美元,并打破1300美元/盎司整数大关,重挫进一步削弱投资者对黄金的信心,短期内有望在短暂调整后继续走低,建议反弹沽空。操作上黄金(T+D)建议逢高做空,参考价位264.60-265水平,止损266上方。

  白银日内小幅走高,收复20美元/盎司整数水平,不过整体弱势依然明显,均线指标呈现空头排列,短期跌势很难缓和,建议短期修正后继续做空,操作上白银(T+D)建议逢高做空,参考价位4080-4100水平,止损4150上方。

 

 


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