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现货黄金续跌 空方继续主导行情

关键字:本日现货黄金走势

【行情回顾】

本日亚盘尾段,国际现货黄金价格延续下跌行情,空头继续主导金市格局,金价蓄势向下突破,市场正预期欧央行推出新的量化宽松政策,美元兑欧元走势坚挺,一定程度打压黄金上行动力,亚盘时段最低价录得1251.3美元/盎司,预计在欧央行下周进行利率会议前,美元兑主要非美货币将维持较强走势,金价将打开新一轮的下行空间。

【基本面分析】

欧央行执委默施周三表示,下周欧央行会议可能产生一个政策组合,用于应对低通胀和低信贷增速,但实施的时机可能会不同。近期欧央行官员不断强化市场对于6月采取行动的预期,市场对此已经对此达成共识。当天公布的德国失业人数意外增加,也增加了欧央行采取宽松举措的紧迫性,投资者要注意欧央行启动新一轮QE的时间点。

本周二乌克兰政府军出动飞机与空降部队,对顿涅茨克的亲俄武装发动空前猛烈攻势,造成50名亲俄武装分子丧生。但此次俄罗斯并没有发出强硬的言论,反而表示救援道路和物流供应等皆准备就绪,只待乌方批准,希望尽快得到乌方答复。看来俄罗斯承认乌克兰的新政权,乌俄两国的缓和局面得到进一步发展,大幅降低黄金的避险吸引力。

【技术分析】

从日线图上看,国际金价走势昨日收得一根带上下阴线的阴柱,金价行情在下降通道中运行,周二交易量的下挫使布林轨道开口向下,均线系统向下发散,呈现空头排列。附图指标MACD出现死叉,KDJ指标位于于超卖区,RSI线走平于低位,日内整体来看依旧偏空,上方关注1262-1268阻力区,下方关注1250支撑,若下穿1250将继续打开下方空间,进一步长期支撑位是1230。

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