市场缺乏利好 现货黄金震荡下行
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘前，黄金现货价格依旧维持早盘的震荡下跌趋势，在缺乏利好的情况之下，黄金走势只能不断向下寻底，由于近期的支撑位和均线都宣告失守，短期内空头力量十分强大，多头则偃旗息鼓，由于今晚美国方面有较多的经济数据公布，建议投资者谨慎应对。
【基本面分析】
虽然在经历大跌之后，市场频现抄底的声音，其中被认为具备实质抄底行为的，还是要数黄金ETF基金周二晚间的大跌途中非但没有减持黄金，反而增加8吨以上的黄金买量，虽然这的确给予市场的一定的信心，但是由近期黄金市场的走势上看，该增持行为并未能挽回黄金的下跌趋势。
在空头肆虐的现在，黄金市场的多头力量或许正在拼命寻找做多的理由，但是能够充分证明黄金有足够多的上涨空间的理由并不多。例如，印度新总理莫迪算是对黄金产业非常友好，可他的竞选纲领里丝毫没有提到黄金，而他的财长对放宽黄金进口限制的态度模棱两可，使得不少对看多黄金的人士难免觉得缺乏足够信心。
虽然，印度的需求固然巨大且较为刚性，但供需关系传导至金融市场需要的时间更长，而现在黄金市场瞬息万变，即便印度最后放松黄金进口管制，可能会被更大的利空所抵消，例如最新公布的中国消费者黄金需求数据，再度证明了近期黄金实物需求在市场上仍然较为缺乏，虽然印度进口的黄金进口限制有放松迹象，但恐怕也难以挽回金价的颓势。
【技术分析】
亚洲盘中黄金仍然维持震荡下行的态势，现交投于1250-1253一线位置，根据我们对伦敦金技术分析可得，由现在的盘面上看，1250一线位置尚具备一定的支撑能力。但是在现货黄金向下突破三角形整理区间的情况下，黄金短期内的走势仍然不容了关，而由技术指标上看，MACD和KDJ等指标均出现死叉，而且暂时尚未发现企稳迹象，我们大田金业建议投资者近期仍然是以做空为主要做单思路。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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