中国黄金需求下降 现货黄金再度下跌
关键字:现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
周四亚市早盘,国际现货黄金延续昨天的跌势,早盘再度出现震荡下挫。由于近期利空黄金的消息较多,短期内黄金行情难有反弹迹象。而多头信心缺失较为严重,在空头的节节打击下,黄金如无重大利好刺激,短期内将难有起色。
【基本面分析】
最新数据显示,中国投资者购买黄金的热情持续走低,4月国内自香港进口的黄金量降至14个月低点。中国需求的疲软,加上美国可能退出刺激政策的预期,导致黄金价格出现大幅下跌,创下3个半月新低。
中国投资者从香港采购黄金数量已经连续第二个月下滑。根据香港统计机构数据显示,4月内地自香港净进口黄金67.040吨,环比下降21.2%;而3月份,净进口85.128吨,降幅为24.2%。连续下滑的需求形势,其实在今年一季度已经有所表现。世界黄金协会公布的黄金需求报告显示,一季度中国黄金需求下降18%。
随着中国投资者购买金条、金币等投资品的数量减少,黄金后期跌势恐怕仍然会继续加大。目前,国际黄金价格已经跌到近3个月以来的低位,价格面临重大考验,市场恐慌情绪有所上升。
【技术分析】
根据我们对伦敦金技术分析来看,伦敦金在突破下降三角形区间整理之后,黄金的下行趋势已经正式成型,布林线喇叭口正式开始发散,短期内伦敦金的反弹压力位则位于布林线下轨的1268位置。由于黄金短期内的大幅度下跌,均线系统全部呈现空头排列状况。虽然黄金在1250位置尚有一定的支撑力度,但是关键仍在于1230一线的周线级别支撑。
【操作建议】
做多:开仓1250 止盈1258 止损1238
做空:开仓1256 止盈1245 止损1265
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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