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印度放宽黄金限制 现货黄金低位反弹

关键字:现货黄金行情

【行情回顾】

亚市尾盘,伦敦金行情小幅走高创出日内高点,但仍然未改变震荡整理格局。虽然黄金在近一个月中受到的利空因素也较多,良好的非农数据,低于30万人数的初请失业金数据,以及乌克兰局势略有平息,可以看出黄金空头都在虎视眈眈。但是,黄金多头也并没有束手待毙,而利好也适时而至。

【基本面分析】

根据外媒最新消息,莫迪当选印度总理之后,对黄金的利好马上纷至沓来:印度央行允许除已授权银行外的多家民间机构进口黄金,以促进黄金出口,但仍须遵守20:80准则。另外允许银行对黄金珠宝商80%黄金进口配额做抵押贷款。

如此神速的变化让印度相关产业喜出望外,全印度珠宝首饰贸易联盟主席对此表示“央行放宽黄金进口限制对提振国内黄金行业做出了重要的一步,相信未来供应将持续增加。”印度的黄金政策正在改变,这对国际金价是一个利好,起码起到了一定分化空头的作用。而今晨公布的美联储纪要,也让市场松了一口气,美联储暗示暂缓升息也让黄金获得喘息的空间和时间。

【技术分析】

由日K线图上看,伦敦金仍然位于三角形整理形态的末端当中,尚未作出正式的方向性选择,现正依托着100日均线的强支撑,多次试图突破1300关口,由于该三角形整理形态是自1392高位以来的下跌整理形态,下行的可能性较大,但仍不排除选择向上突破的可能性,若黄金能向上突破,则短期压力位置为1330一线,其次则在1380。若黄金选择向下突破,则需关注1250位置支撑。

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