现货黄金冲高回落 于1300下方筑底
关键字：本日现货黄金价格走势
【行情回顾】
本日亚市早盘，国际现货黄金价格小幅反弹，开盘时段曾一度滑落至1289位置，随后因中日PMI数据开好，提振市场投资情绪，国际金价最高升至1296附近，欧市开盘后小幅回落，但仍保持震荡整理格局，本日凌晨的美联储讲话并未为金价带来强势的行情指引，且随着会议记录内容被市场逐步消化，黄金在受到令人鼓舞的中日PMI数据公布后拉升，尚等待更多消息以作出方向性突破。
【基本面分析】
中国5月汇丰制造业PMI预览值升至49.7，创五个月最高位，且为连续第二个月上升；远强於市场预期的48.4。上月终值为48.1。5月新出口订单指数初值升至52.7，重新返回荣枯线上方，且为三年半最高水平。这暗示中国出口将持续向好，但是仍有许多迹象显示中国国内需求依旧疲软，特别是住房市场。日本5月制造业PMI初值49.9，仍低于50枯荣线处于萎缩状态，但较上月数据49.4出现回升，接近结束萎缩。PMI数据向好显示中国制造业是正处于稳步阶段，反映出产业经济的持续回暖，提振金融市场投资情绪，作为亚洲黄金消费大国而言则一定程度提高了黄金的购买力。
下午欧盘时段关注欧元区5月制造业PMI初值，市场预期本次欧元区5月综合PMI可能会从上月54.0的三年高点小幅回落至53.9，但数据小幅下跌不会改变制造业回暖向好的积极趋势。而欧央行曾放风称6月将推出一系列量化宽松措施，若本日公布的欧元区5月综合PMI向好，将减轻推出刺激政策的压力，若数据开差则坚定欧央行启动量化宽松的决心，导致欧元走软，美元被动上涨，黄金则延续窄幅回调。
德意志银行称，各国央行将继续净买入黄金，根据世界黄金协会的最新报告显示,全球各国央行已连续13个季度成为黄金的净买家。此外，第四期央行售金协议刚刚被签订，各签订国表示近期没有大量出售黄金的计划。且本年以来，全球各国央行都在买入黄金，最近乌克兰央行更宣布其170亿美元的IMF救助贷款将会用来买入黄金和外汇储备。各国央行对黄金的增持促使国际金价趋于稳定。
【技术分析】
日线图上，国际金价大体呈窄幅整理，最低触及三角形整理的边缘位置1287-1289，三角整理依旧没有破位，而且三角的边缘支撑位依旧有效，金价出现小幅反弹，上方阻力受多重均线压制。从4小时图上看，布林带下轨支撑力度较大，预计盘整形态回调完毕后金价或上穿1300，本日支撑位1287，压力位1300。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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