俄从边境撤军 黄金现货低位下挫
关键字:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
隔夜黄金现货价格震荡下跌,收出阴十字星,由于俄罗斯总统普京宣布从边境撤军,市场的避险情绪有所下降,导致黄金出现小幅的下跌。昨日黄金最高1306附近,最低1287附近。白银也震荡盘跌,收出十字星,总体走势类似于黄金,并没有太多的意外。
【基本面分析】
俄罗斯总统普京周三向记者表示,此前下令俄军从乌克兰边境撤离是为了帮助本周日(5月25日)的乌克兰总统选举创造有利条件。但他也指出,由于乌克兰东部持续爆发冲突,俄罗斯可能很难与乌新任总统达成共识。
而乌克兰2月22日发生有政变迹象的政权更迭。乌议会罢黜了总统亚努科维奇,修改了宪法,将总统大选定于5月25日。目前乌克兰正展开竞选活动。当局承认,实施特别行动的东部地区投票可能会有问题。莫斯科认为,乌克兰议会决定的合法性令人质疑,选举的合法性将取决于若干条件,包括透明度和考虑到地区利益。虽然短期内乌俄局势有缓和迹象,但关键仍然在于在大选之后新政府和俄罗斯如何处理外交关系,黄金在短期内由于避险需求缺失,承压下跌也是理所当然的。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看,现货黄金行情昨晚在联储会议纪要前出现一波下跌,直接击穿1288一线支撑位置,之后迅速反弹回到1290上方,使K线上留下了一条较长的下影线,但是总体跌幅较少,因此还是再度收出了一条带长下影线的十字星。在连续多条十字星后,黄金尚未有明确的走势方向,说明市场的心态相当犹豫,观望气氛相当浓厚。而各项技术指标均,例如MACD,KDJ等均位于多空线之上,也未带来明确的指引,我们大田贵金属预计在今天纽约盘前,黄金将依旧维持震荡走势。
【操作建议】
做多:开仓1290 止盈1298 止损1284
做空:开仓 1297 止盈1291 止损1305
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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