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联储态度保守 现货黄金缺乏方向

关键字:现货黄金走势

【行情回顾】

昨日国际现货黄金在经历了亚盘和欧盘的横盘走势之后,晚间纽约时段,黄金的波动开始扩大,由于市场昨日预计联储会议纪要会透露出一系列的信息,使市场的风险偏好有所增强,在会议前的凌晨2点,黄金曾出现了一波大幅跳水,然后再度出现拉升,由于最终联储会议纪要未能透露足够的信息去指引市场,最终黄金微幅收跌。

【基本面分析】

美联储此次公布的FOMC4月份会议纪要显示,美联储官员提出了多个上调短期利率的方式,但讨论升息方式只是进行“谨慎计划,并不暗示将在短期内升息。虽然会议纪要显示决策者讨论了货币政策正常化的问题,但是基调仍较为谨慎。FOMC与会委员赞成对美联储的政策工具做更多测试,计划在未来会议上进一步评估。

而此次纪要在关于劳动力市场的部分中,部分FOMC与会委员表示在他们所处的地区就业市场紧张,因为企业工人短缺;而一些委员表示失业率没有完全反映出就业市场闲置的程度,薪资低增长也被指是就业市场闲置的证据。由于本次会议纪要仍然缺乏重要的方向性信息,所以黄金暂时只能在低位继续盘整。

【技术分析】

根据我们对伦敦金技术分析所得,黄金昨日于1295位置承压回落,全天走势振幅较弱,而尾盘时段更是因美联储会议纪要是的金价下行至1283,但之后出现快速反弹,未出现破位下行,目前下方支撑有效,短线仍较为缺乏方向感,预计今天的反弹压力位置仍在1295一线位置,投资者可以适当逢高做空。

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