印度大选或使现货黄金反弹 关注上方均线压制
关键字：本日国际现货黄金走势
【基本面分析】
本日14：30迎来印度大选，此前印度商贸部长与印度财长曾谈论到，去年政府为了控制经常帐赤字的过度膨胀而上调黄金进口税，同时印度央行也颁布多项限制黄金进口的条例。但过于严苛的限制以及高昂的关税也导致了其他问题，比如走私等。印度黄金进口限制的政策一直都抑制国内外的黄金投资热情，若这次作为主张松绑政策的莫迪若当选，将极大刺激印度进口黄金的预期。
美国方面，此前美联储主席耶伦向参议院预算委员会表示，她不赞成上调美联储通胀目标，美联储当前目标为2%。耶伦称，美联储既希望避免持续的高通胀，也希望避免持续的低通胀。她表示，通胀预期仍然牢牢地在2%上下波动，这对政策制定者来说十分有利。美国通胀低于美联储目标的情况已持续近两年。耶伦认为一些临时性因素是导致低通胀的原因之一，随著时间的推移通胀将朝2%的目标回升。随着通胀水平将符合美联储的预期范围内，美联储QE收伞，美元走势将稳步上扬，长期来说，黄金将承压下行。
【技术分析】
日线图上看，国际金价昨日开出带上下影线的中阴线，走势客观地反映了上方50日均线1308的有效压制，低位也触及100日均线1292，MACD红色动能柱犹存，布林通道中金价处于中轨附近，均线走平。日内关注初始阻力位1310，关键支撑位1275，操作上建议轻仓做空。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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