耶伦观点提振市场情绪 现货黄金承压下挫
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
今日亚市早盘现货黄金维持低位震荡走势，由于昨晚的美国经济数据良好，加上美联储主席耶伦的乐观预期，导致国际现货黄金价格承压下跌。由于1300关口可以说是短期内的多空分水岭，而1300关口失守导致短期内黄金走势由强转弱，因此黄金的弱势震荡可以说是无法避免。
【基本面分析】
早于耶伦5月8日时曾表示，美联储眼下并不急于减少其资产负债表至合适规模，但如果希望能将之缩减至危机前水平，这个过程恐怕需要5-8年的时间。美联储的资产负债表规模已从2007年的约8，000亿美元膨胀至目前的4.5万亿美元。因此，市场普遍认为，耶伦的观点偏向于鸽派，在没有明确确定美国复苏基础稳定之前，美联储将会继续维持宽松的货币政策。
美联储主席耶伦在近期的讲话中一直维持这样一种立场，即不会很快上调利率，而债券市场已经接受到了这一信号。她在周四的美国商会全国小型企业周会议上表示，美联储正在努力令金融市场状况更加具有适应性，但是美国要获得健康的经济还有很多事情要做。
【技术分析】
根据我们对现货黄金走势分析可得，由黄金日K线图上看，黄金在最近两日来分别经历了大涨大跌，1300关口再度得而复失，导致市场的多头信心再度遭到打击。而由形态上讲，黄金再度退守到之前的震荡三角形箱体当中，并未能顺利实现往上突破，而均线系统也开始走平，说明短期内黄金上方的压力依然强大，黄金在1300关口前的震荡期将会继续延长。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1292 止盈1299 止损1284
做空：开仓1297 止盈1290 止损1305
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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