市场期待印度大选结果 现货黄金低位整理
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘前，国际现货黄金交易价格依旧交投在1295一线位置。在亚洲盘中，现货黄金一度攀升到1299位置，但是仍未能触及1300关口，由于本周的重要经济数据已经在昨晚基本公布完毕，今天的国际贵金属市场交投也较为平淡，而今天的市场焦点主要集中在印度的大选方面。
【基本面分析】
印度大选结果即将出炉，根据之前的民调，全国民主联盟将在543个席位中获得275个席位，在所有参选联盟中得到绝对多数席位。而其中，印度人民党就将赢得226个席位。这是该党有史以来可能获得的最多席位，该党领导人莫迪有望当选印度总理。莫迪被认为和印度的黄金产业关系密切，而印度的黄金企业也普遍对莫迪感觉较好。
同时有市场人士指出，印度黄金进出口规则由印度央行制定，这恐怕非印度总理能左右。只不过，莫迪与黄金行业关系比较亲密，外界认为多多少少将对印度放松进口限制有一定宽松作用，这可能对黄金是利好。由于黄金的供需关系需要一定的时间才会传导到下游价格当中，因此黄金的需求或许中长期内有望上升。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，黄金现正处于前期的窄幅震荡区间之内，由于黄金昨日再度跌破1300整数关口，导致黄金的向上突破走势成为假突破。而且昨晚跌势较急，黄金接连失守多条均线后，再度陷入空头行情当中。由技术指标上看，KDJ指标再度出现死叉，MACD红柱再度缩短，证明短期内黄金多头力量有所衰竭，若短期内黄金能够再度重夺1300关口，则后市黄金将有望再度走强。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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