黄金现货下探7周低位
关键字：现货黄金价格
【基本面】
美元可能从本周预期向好的非农数据中得到支撑，因3月主要的经济数据可以免受恶劣寒冬的扭曲，并很可能显示扩张经济的反弹，贵金属走势因此受到打压。根据路透社的统计，平均来看，经济学家认为有大约20多万的美国人在3月入职。同时，ISM制造业指数录得53.7，尽管略微差于预期，但是比2月的53.2有所升高。据国外知名媒体的调查，大约65%的投资者预期本个交易周美元会上涨，而31%的认为只会有一些微小的变化，仅1%的认为美元会走弱。但投资者仍需对本周经济数据保持谨慎，因为目前市场情绪在此前上次向好的非农数据之后显得有点期待过高。
【技术分析】
黄金现货继续此前疲软，昨日再度录得阴烛。在1277附近获得支撑之后有所反弹，现交投于1279.71。日线图上10日均线下穿20日均线后再度下穿60日均线双死叉。目前黄金现货已下跌超过112美金，跌幅超过8%。4小时图上金价沿着20期均线下方向下运行，多期均线空头排列。MACD指标在远离0轴下方缠绕运行。值得一提的是，MACD指标出现底背离，可能预示金价存有反弹可能。上方阻力1292/1300，下方支撑1272/1266。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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