智利地震 现货金价借势上扬
关键词:现货黄金走势
【基本面】
根据最新消息报道,智利沿海出现8.2级地震并引发海啸,已经有了初步报告显示地震造成了部分地区山体发生滑坡,已经封堵了部分道路和高速公路,目前还没有造成了人员伤亡的报告。现在第一波海啸已经抵达了智利北部沿海。美国国家海洋和大气管理局发布的海啸传播时间预测图,根据预测图显示,这次地震引发的海啸最快18小时后之会抵达澳大利亚,21小时之后会抵达日本。受此消息影响,今早铜价曾出现过一波飚升。
早在2010年,智利也曾经出现过一次严重地震,当时铜价,黄金价格均在当时出现大幅上涨,由于智利是全世界最大的产铜国家,受地震影响,铜价将会出现上升,和铜一样作为大宗商品的黄金,也会因为避险需求而得到提振。而这次黄金在连续下跌之后,能否借助智利地震这一事件引发的避险需求而从新获得提振,还是需要再行观察。
技术分析:由于昨晚美国公布的经济数据延续上升态势,虽然略低于市场预期,但是随着冬季的结束,美国的经济复苏势头将会更加强劲。而由金价走势的技术形态上看,日K线图显示,黄金仍旧处于下降通道当中,暂时还没看到触底的迹象,同时均线空头排列问题依然存在,金价短期内的压力位置处于5日均线的1285一线位置。我们大田贵金属认为,虽然MACD绿柱量能有所缩小,KDJ有低位金叉的出现苗头,而今早的智利地震也让日内的黄金走势变得稍有底气,建议投资者可以适当介入做多。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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