现货黄金疲弱 静待触底反弹
关键字：现货黄金走势
【基本面】
美国经济数据方面，3月ISM制造业PMI 53.7，不及预期的54.0，但较前两个月有好转；其中，新订单指数由54.5增至55.1，生产指数由48.2大增至55.9，就业指数由52.3降至51.1，创九个月新低。2月营建支出环比增长0.1%，与预期持平，前值由+0.1%下修至-0.2%。尽管3月ISM制造业数据略不及预期，但较此前两月有明显好转，表明美国经济受严寒拖累变小，助推美股收高。风险资产的上涨，对黄金来说属利空因素。
欧盟统计局公布数据显示，欧元区3月CPI初值同比上升0.5%，低于预期的0.6%，创2009年11月以来最低水平。由于3月欧元区通胀水平进一步下降，市场人士认为欧洲央行推出量化宽松举措的可能性有所增加。 若欧洲央行推出QE，则将利空欧元，提振美元，黄金承压。
【技术分析】
由于昨晚美国公布的经济数据延续上升态势，虽然略低于市场预期，但是随着冬季的结束，美国的经济复苏势头将会更加强劲。而由现货黄金的技术走势上看，日K线图显示，金价走势仍旧处于下降通道当中，暂时还没看到触底的迹象，同时均线空头排列问题依然存在，金价短期内的压力位置处于5日均线的1285一线位置。虽然MACD绿柱量能有所缩小，KDJ有低位金叉的出现苗头，而今早的智利地震也让日内的现货黄金走势变得稍有底气，建议投资者可以适当介入做多。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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