熊傲君：非农或为本周过山车画上句号？
2018.04.06黄金策略
昨日回顾：昨日金价走势仍旧十分反复，在之前走出过山车走势后，金价昨日早盘一度跌破1330支撑，晚间抵到1322附近，随后展开反弹，并且在今日早间再次修复1330关口，目前在1330附近徘徊，由于晚间将迎来非农数据，过山车后的金价有望保持震荡，本周走势现阶段为止都是多空循环不延续，阴阳交替，实在难以操作，洗盘迹象明显，能够赢少输多已是非常成功，毕竟交易难以做到尽善尽美，本周咋们的交易还是较为成功的。
消息面：消息上昨日贸易战的避险清晰其实是有所降温，导致金价有所回落，美元也出现进一步反弹，不过今日又传出特朗普表示已下令美国贸易代表考虑对中国进口商品加征更多关税，涉及金额1000亿美元。若贸易战担忧继续延伸，短期的避险情绪还会滋生，不过这类消息往往快进快推，需要更加小心，另外晚间就是非农数据，届时要关注资薪水平的状况，再看看数据带来的影响力再作跟进，等待行情延续。
今日展望：今天一大早就出现爆发，表明隔夜1322一线支撑强大，早间的冲高也暂不建议追单，一般情况下，非农数据前的金价都是震荡，或以预期承压下行一波为主，当然非农的实际幅度仍是10美元左右，因此在非农公布前可布局下方8美元左右介入多单尝试，预计晚间非农继续走探底回升的可能性更大，目前预期是18.5万，超过预期的可能性较大，资薪水平需要重点关注，这关乎到通胀率方面的表现，日内非农前建议关注1325-1335区间，后市若再度破位，下方可能就要退守1310一线，上方则可能再攻1350位置。
从现货黄金4小时图看：金价这周阴阳交替极不稳定，短线操作难度不小，需要把时间和节奏控制得极好，例如昨日欧盘走弱迹象不明显，因此晚间美盘走空头单边的可能性不大，所以操作上先空后多较为顺利，建议在趋势走出更明显的节奏前保持这种日内观盘的方法，虽然晚间迎来非农数据，但是仍需要看看欧盘的表现，因为近期非农波动一般，不知道在本周这么精彩的情况下，非农会否亦来次强劲的走势。
操作建议： 1300-1320长线多单继续耐心持有，今年目标依旧是1400上方，加息已过，继续轻仓持有即可（本月有望到达）。短线今天建议非农前保持1325-1335区间高抛低吸为主，非农公布具体情况再作跟进。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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