熊傲君：贸易战动枪了！金价如鱼之得水也！
2018.04.04黄金策略
昨日回顾：昨日金价由于冲高后没有获得延续，再次陷入震荡走势，特别在欧盘时段一举破位亚盘低点1338，那基本意味着晚盘还会有一波下行，总体将变为1330-1340区间震荡，不过行情还是非常狡猾，先是欧盘早段作了虚假上行，一度让大家以为要上破，而美盘前也是再一次诱惑大家，但最终金价受压下行至1329一线，这里同样是一个虚假下破，不过实际上昨日就是修正行情为主。早间开盘小幅承压整体还是偏弱，区间定义为1328-1336，不过随后贸易战加剧，金价直接破位1336，并且是在欧盘，目前已升至1340上方。
消息面：消息上之前中国宣布对美国关税计划的反制措施，引发市场对贸易战的恐慌情绪，不过今日更是制出了强硬反击，财政部网站公告称，2018年4月4日，美国政府发布了加征关税的商品清单，将对我输美的1333项500亿美元的商品加征25%的关税。美方这一措施违反了世界贸易组织规则，严重侵犯我国合法权益，威胁我国家发展利益。经国务院批准，国务院关税税则委员会决定对原产于美国的大豆、汽车、化工品等14类106项商品加征25%的关税，贸易战已经真正打开了。
今日展望：早间小幅承压，整体方向其实并不明朗，严格来说我们需要等待1328-1336区间破位跟进，特别需要等待欧盘时间，不过在欧盘前夕，金价就有站稳1335之势，然后随着贸易战消息的进一步爆发，金价直接多头攀升，一举重回1340上方，而且是欧盘的冲高，美盘恐还有爆发，不过也要小心避险带来的上升预防不够稳定，或需要等待均线组跟上，日线级别反吞，非常完美，在我心目中非农其实本次并不重要，重要还是本周最终呈现，若走好本月依旧是有机会直指1400。
从现货黄金4小时图看：金价目前已接近前高一线，若能进一步突破站稳，那么金价势必再次冲向前高，先是趋势线1355一线，再是1365一线年内高点，再到上年高点1375都有望测试，本周还有小非农和非农数据，若金价依旧保持上节奏，多头信心可以将继续加强，本月依旧对多头比较看好让我们拭目以待，短线今晚的操作只剩下两种，其一突破前高回踩做多，其二均线上移后依靠均线做多。
操作建议： 1300-1320长线多单继续耐心持有，今年目标依旧是1400上方，加息已过，继续轻仓持有即可（本月有望到达）。短线今天建议继续逢低做多为主，等待破高后回撤再跟进或回调均线再跟进。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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