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王垣鑫:直接起涨加息“教做人”行情重现?

今日凌晨美联储如期宣布加息0.25%,此前已经跟大家提及过3月加息后黄金的走势基本上在加息行情出现的瞬间出结果,若宣布加息当时黄金是跳水行情,从下图上一年6月份加息后的走势可以得知接下来的一段时间内黄金将惯性下跌,其跌幅从起跌点开始算能达50美元以上。

王垣鑫:直接起涨加息“教做人”行情重现?

若宣布加息当时黄金是跳涨行情,则会出现截然不同的结果,从去年3月的走势可以看出,一旦加息黄金直接起涨那么接下来的一段时间内,黄金将会一路强势上行,并且其上行幅度几乎达100美元,在2017年12月也同样走出了直接起涨后一路高歌猛进的走势,其幅度从1245一路涨到1365,达120美元。当然这也受当时第一季度实物金需求旺季的影响,但撇除这一点3月份也能涨出近100美元的涨幅,可见后市涨幅之可观,这一次从1319一线开始起涨,这一波往上攻击1400应该不是梦。

王垣鑫:直接起涨加息“教做人”行情重现?

回到短线继续观察加息直接起涨后当时的行情,可以发现金价基本没有回调低点可以供我们去低多,记忆力好的朋友或许会记得当时无论指标多么有调整需求,还是出现背离,金价还是一路往上,顶多就出现横盘调整,幅度10美元以内,这行情对于不停做反向单子或者是抢回调的朋友来说基本就是“教做人”的行情了,所以最近这段时间建议还是以多为主要的操作方向,能给低点则低多,不能给到低点只要是做多,激进点做带好止损也是没有太大的问题,单子尽量拿长一点,从起涨点算起不到100美元也就是没到1400,差一点的话没到1375,中间尽量不要随便把单子出掉,毕竟加息行情3个月一次,错过这一次可能又要等一个季度了,也可以趁此机会好好锻炼一下持单的心态。

王垣鑫:直接起涨加息“教做人”行情重现?


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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