熊傲君：加息终于落地，金价有望起航
2018.03.22黄金策略
昨日回顾：昨日金价保持震荡走势为主，亚欧盘围绕1320下方震荡，总体幅度不大，市场在等待加息利率决议，不过进入美盘却提前有所反应，一度涨至1325一线附近，随后维持1320上方震荡，公布加息后，金价来回波动后随即拉出大阳线，多头开始发力，并且一举突破1330，加息终于靴子落地，利空散尽金价或有望再次走出趋势，目前价格围绕在1330附近，若能企稳，日内有望进一步挑战上方压力。
消息面：数据上昨日重点就在于美联储加息上，美联储凌晨如期加息，但鲍威尔讲话相对中性，令原本持鹰派预期的人大感失望，美元遭到明显拖累，金价获得了较强的上涨动能，另外，对美国关税计划的担忧也给金价提避险支撑。今晚欧洲央行将公布经济公报，另外英国也迎来利率决议，已经加过息的英国会否有机会再度迎来加息或至少对未来表达信心，那么届时对美元可能仍有进一步冲击，美国还有初请失业金等数据可以稍微留意。
今日展望：目前价格围绕在1330附近，此处亦是前期的关键反压位，昨夜已经成功突破，目前在回撤测试当中，若再退一步会出现在1325附近的顶底转换，这几处地方是多头今日甚至后市要发力必须要站稳的地方，总体趋势上严格意义来说仍未算反转，技术形态上不宜操之过急，现阶段是消息面终于告别一段利空的压制，但是技术面仍需要更进一步的确认才能得出反转的判断，届时金价将有望迎来至少两个月的上涨机会。
从现货黄金4小时图看：昨晚强势拉升后，金价重回1330上方，亦打破了近期的弱势调整，当然目前还需要进一步的多头延续才能确认，否则大阳不延续也是意义不大，现阶段短期均线组呈现多头排列，相对前期，多头终于开始有所占优，下方MACD指标亦有上穿0轴的机会，目前等待市场回踩确认支撑，或欧盘能够再度走强即可介入多单，操作上建议先观察欧盘，日内以下方逢低做多为主，高空为辅，看好保持震荡反弹走势。
操作建议： 1300-1320长线多单坚定持有，今年目标依旧是1400上方，加息已过，低点或也再难给予，继续轻仓持有即可。短线关注1325-1340区间，欧盘强弱做日内节奏，或破位进行顺势跟进。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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