市場無懼美聯儲加倍減碼,美元從三周高位下挫
周三(12月15日)美聯儲維持基準利率不變,宣布將從1月中開始將縮減購債規模的速度提高一倍,美元和避險貨幣下跌,美元指數盤中一度上漲0.35%,試探年內高點,然後扭轉漲勢,盡管美聯儲官員們暗示2022年可能加息3次,但美聯儲主席鮑威爾表示,貨幣政策的緊縮仍將是漸進式的。隨著美元大幅回落,現貨黃金尾盤較日低回升逾20美元,稍早一度觸及1753.77美元/盎司,為10月12日以來最低。
美聯儲維持利率不變,將加快減碼
美聯儲決議聲明:維持聯邦基金利率目標區間在0%-0.25%不變,維持超額儲備金利率在0.15%不變,維持貼現利率在0.25%不變。將Taper(減碼QE)提高一倍,至每個月300億美元,即每個月的美國國債購買規模降低200億美元、抵押貸款支持證券(MBS)減少100億美元。美國經濟仍然面臨諸多風險,其中就包括那些新出現的(奧密克戎等)新冠肺炎變異毒株。就業人口增幅是穩固的,失業人口已經持續下降。刪除決議聲明中關于“通脹是暫時的”這一表述。美聯儲最新點陣圖顯示:美聯儲官員的預測中值為明年將加息3次,2023年再加息3次。
美聯儲主席鮑威爾:因通脹上升加速縮債,點陣圖並不代表行動計劃
美聯儲主席鮑威爾在利率決議後的新聞發布會上表示,經濟發展和前景證明應該加快債券縮減,通脹上升是加速縮債的原因,有望到明年3月中完成購債減碼;鮑威爾稱,經濟在實現最大化就業方面正迅速取得進展,我們預計明年將實現充分就業。聯邦公開市場委員會的利率預測並不代表行動計劃,不能認為明年加息是必然的。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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